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Feb. 5, 2025, 3:08 p.m.
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Amazon's Fourth-Quarter Earnings Preview: Bullish Analyst Predictions

Brief news summary

Amazon is set to reveal its fourth-quarter earnings this Thursday, and analysts are largely optimistic about the outcomes, driven by solid holiday sales, rising advertising revenue, and Amazon Web Services (AWS) growth. Bank of America predicts that Amazon will exceed the expected operating profit of $19.7 billion, with estimated total sales reaching around $187 billion, boosted by AWS expansion and AI advancements. They have assigned a "Buy" rating with a target price of $255. Deutsche Bank, anticipating an earnings surprise, projects strong margins for AWS and retail gross profit, setting a target price of $275, which indicates a 17% increase. Wedbush Securities expects significant margin growth as well, forecasting $20.7 billion in operating income and maintaining an "Outperform" rating with a target of $280. Morgan Stanley suggests Amazon could save up to $10 billion through warehouse automation by 2030, giving it an "Overweight" rating. Mizuho points to increased advertising spending as a positive indicator of consumer health, targeting a price of $285, 20% above current levels. Overall, Amazon's outlook for 2025 appears exceptionally strong.

Amazon is set to announce its fourth-quarter earnings on Thursday, and Wall Street anticipates positive results due to strong holiday demand and growth in advertising revenue. Analysts are particularly optimistic about the growth potential of Amazon Web Services (AWS) and believe it will significantly contribute to earnings in both the fourth quarter and 2025. Bank of America expects Amazon to exceed operating profit estimates of $19. 7 billion, with quarterly sales around $187 billion. Investors will likely focus on AWS growth, advancements in artificial intelligence (AI), advertising revenue, and future spending forecasts. They highlight growing partnerships and enhanced GPU supply as key drivers. Deutsche Bank is also predicting an earnings beat, driven by improved consumer sentiment and demand for AI, forecasting operating income of $21 billion.

They emphasize the acceleration in Gen AI demand and AWS's AI services as crucial factors. Wedbush Securities anticipates significant margin expansion, projecting operating income of $20. 7 billion, which is above consensus estimates. They assert that retail strength and higher-margin services will support performance, with an increased price target of $280. Morgan Stanley notes that Amazon's investment in robotics could significantly enhance efficiency in its warehouses, potentially leading to $10 billion in savings by 2030. They maintain an "Overweight" rating with a price target of $280. Mizuho highlights improving ad spending and pricing trends as positive indicators for consumer health and e-commerce performance, recommending a target price of $285. Overall, major analysts maintain bullish views on Amazon, reflecting confidence in its growth prospects, driven by AWS, AI advancements, and robust retail performance.


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