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Jan. 29, 2026, 1:40 p.m.
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Apple Stock Forecast 2026: Analyst Insights on AI Strategy, iPhone Sales, and Price Targets

Brief news summary

Morgan Stanley analyst Erik Woodring predicts short-term weakness in Apple’s stock following its upcoming earnings report due to disappointing iPhone sales. However, he maintains a positive long-term outlook with a $315 price target, implying about 23% upside, fueled by Apple’s innovative 2026 plans such as a Google Gemini-powered Siri, a foldable iPhone, and the industry’s first 2nm smartphone. Similarly, analyst Michael Ng expects earnings to meet consensus and foresees a market rally as investors acknowledge Apple’s AI strategy, setting a $320 target with roughly 25% upside. Ng sees recent share weakness as a buying opportunity, supported by steady iPhone refreshes and AI growth. Tech analyst Dan Ives highlights Apple’s AI advancements, especially the upcoming Siri update and WWDC 2026 event, noting the stock currently lacks an AI premium valued at $75–$100 per share. He anticipates a strong rally when Apple’s AI initiatives attract investor attention. Overall, despite near-term challenges, analysts remain bullish on Apple’s innovation pipeline and AI-driven growth prospects.

Morgan Stanley analyst Erik Woodring anticipates weak stock performance following Thursday’s earnings report, expecting investors to be underwhelmed by iPhone sales. Despite this, he remains optimistic about the stock’s future, setting a price target of $315 per share, which implies an approximate 23% upside. Woodring stated, “Looking beyond the short-term, we continue to believe Apple will outperform in 2026 as it re-launches an upgraded Siri/Apple Intelligence (February 2026 and WWDC 2026 in June), introduces its most innovative iPhone in over a decade (Foldable), and becomes the first to market with a 2nm-powered smartphone (iPhone 18 family), ” in a client note issued Monday. Analyst Michael Ng expects Apple to report earnings largely in line with consensus on Thursday but predicts the stock will rally as the market increasingly recognizes its AI strategy. Ng has set a price target of $320 per share, reflecting about 25% upside from current levels. Ng observed, “AAPL stock is down 5% year-to-date to start calendar 2026, likely due to commodity cost inflation and App Store concerns, but we view the stock weakness as a buying opportunity amid the ongoing iPhone refresh cycle.

Apple’s collaboration with Google Gemini for Siri, alongside continued iPhone demand growth amid AI-native consumer hardware launches, should convince the market that the iPhone will remain the preferred device for accessing new AI tools, alleviating competition-related concerns, ” according to his January 20 note. Tech analyst Dan Ives advises watching for updates on Apple’s AI strategy. “With the company finalizing the selection of Google Gemini to support Siri in its AI strategic initiative, it is time for Apple to outline a plan to accelerate its AI efforts throughout 2026, culminating in a much-anticipated Siri refresh this spring and at WWDC in June, ” Ives noted in a client communication Wednesday, referring to the World Wide Developers Conference. Ives further believes the stock could see a significant rally if investors begin to assign an AI premium similar to that applied to other firms involved in the rapidly growing technology. “We believe no ‘AI premium’—potentially worth $75 to $100 per share—is currently factored into Apple’s stock price, ” he wrote.


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