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Nov. 7, 2024, 11:21 p.m.
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The Joy of Why: Exploring Statistics and AI with Emmanuel Candès

In this episode of "The Joy of Why, " host Steven Strogatz discusses the application of statistics, data science, and AI with statistician Emmanuel Candès. They explore the use of quantitative models to predict complex phenomena like weather, epidemics, college admissions, election forecasts, and drug discovery, revealing both successes and limitations. They delve into the concept of "black box" models used in machine learning, describing their ability to predict without understanding the underlying processes.

Candès explains how statistical techniques can quantify uncertainty and improve predictions, offering real-world examples such as college admissions, election night forecasting, and drug discovery. The conversation touches on pressing issues like the reproducibility crisis in scientific research, emphasizing the need for statistical safeguards. The episode concludes with a discussion about the role of statistics within the broader field of data science and the importance of teaching statistical reasoning as part of education for fostering an understanding of inductive reasoning.



Brief news summary

In the "The Joy of Why" podcast, Steven Strogatz interviews statistician Emmanuel Candès to explore the impact of statistical models and AI on complex predictions, like those in college admissions and drug discovery. They discuss "black box" systems that make predictions without clear explanations, highlighting the role of AI in speeding up drug discovery by identifying potential compounds and merging traditional statistics with AI methods. Candès uses election forecasting to emphasize understanding uncertainties and suggests using confidence intervals rather than point estimates. The discussion also highlights the significance of teaching inductive reasoning, which helps students predict broader contexts from specific instances. Strogatz and Candès advocate for using statistically sound methods to ensure reliable predictions and call for educational reforms to enhance intuitive understanding and critical thinking. This shift aims to move away from rote memorization, enabling students to better understand statistical concepts and effectively navigate a data-driven world.

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The Joy of Why: Exploring Statistics and AI with Emmanuel Candès

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