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Oct. 27, 2025, 6:25 a.m.
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BigBear.ai Stock Analysis: Is Now the Right Time to Buy Amid Sales Decline?

BigBear. ai (BBAI +3. 98%) is one of the many artificial intelligence (AI) stocks that have surged in 2025, with its shares rising approximately 300% over the past 12 months through October 22. The company is set to report its third-quarter earnings on November 10. Should its Q3 results be strong, the stock may see further gains. But is this an ideal time to buy shares? Several important factors suggest caution.

Here's why now may not be the best time to invest. Key considerations for BigBear. ai stock Despite AI’s popularity, BigBear. ai experienced a sales decline in the second quarter. Revenue dropped a significant 18% year-over-year to $32. 5 million. This downturn was mainly due to spending cuts by the Trump administration, as BigBear. ai relies heavily on revenue from the federal government. Additionally, the company remains unprofitable, reporting a net loss of $228. 6 million in Q2. NYSE: BBAI BigBear. ai Today's Change: +3. 98% ($0. 27) Current Price: $7. 05 Key Data Points: - Market Cap: $3B - Day's Range: $7. 02 - $7. 33 - 52-Week Range: $1. 51 - $10. 36 - Volume: 159K - Average Volume: 100M - Gross Margin: 27. 97% - Dividend Yield: N/A Despite the weak financial performance, BigBear. ai’s stock price remains high, reflected in a price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 13—much higher than the multiple of 4 recorded at the end of Q1, when revenue grew 5% year-over-year to $34. 8 million. Considering the sales decline, significant net losses, and elevated stock valuation, it is advisable to hold off and await BigBear. ai’s Q3 earnings. The upcoming results will provide clearer indications of whether revenue is stabilizing before making a buying decision.



Brief news summary

BigBear.ai (BBAI) has been one of the standout AI stocks in 2025, with shares soaring approximately 300% over the past year through October 22. The company plans to release its third-quarter earnings on November 10, and a strong report could potentially boost the stock further. However, several factors suggest caution before investing now. Despite AI's popularity, BigBear.ai experienced an 18% year-over-year revenue decline to $32.5 million in Q2, primarily due to spending cuts by the Trump administration, its main federal government customer base. The company remains unprofitable, posting a net loss of $228.6 million in Q2. Currently, its stock trades with a high price-to-sales ratio of 13, a sharp increase from 4 earlier in the year, despite worsening sales and financial losses. With revenue down and valuation elevated, investors should await Q3 results for signs of recovery before considering a purchase.

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