Mustaqbalka: SHFE aluminium ayaa xirnaa qiimaheedu tahay RMB 23, 395/tan oo habeenkii, hoos u dhac 0. 91%, oo hoos u dhacday ka hooseeya celceliska gaaban ee MA5 (23, 544) iyo MA10 (23, 522), iyadoo nidaamka celceliska dhaqaaqu muujinayo qaab yari ah oon wanaagsanayn. Qiimaha ayaa u dhow taageerada muhiimka ah ee muddada dhexe ee MA60 (23, 069. 42). Tusmada MACD DIF (-23. 3329) ayaa si degdeg ah u soo hoosaysay kadib markii uu ka gudbay dhexdhexaad dhan eber ah, DEA (117. 8205) ayaa dib u noqday, isla markaana taargooyinka histogram-ka oo qiimo taban ah ayaa ballaadhay ilaa -282. 3068, taasoo muujinaysa xoogaa yaraan ah ee ganaaxaya. Raadka ganacsiga ugu muhiimsan ee aluminium-ka SHFE waa in uu ku jiro 23, 200-23, 600. LME aluminium ayaa xirnaa qiimaha USD 3, 097. 5/tonne, hoos u dhac 0. 63%, oo dhex socday MA5 (3, 111. 9) iyo MA10 (3, 093. 55). Ka dib marka celcelisyada gaaban ee dhaqaaqa ay isku dhowaadaan, waxaa muhim ah tilmaam hoos u dhac ah. Qiimaha ayaa weli ka hooseeya MA30 (3, 133. 22) oo ka sareeya MA60 (3, 008. 32), taas oo muujinaysa qaab dhexdhexaad ah oo deggan laakiin jihada gaaban ee xoogaa ceebay. MACD DIF (9. 0460) iyo DEA (21. 5155) ayaa sii wadaan inay yeeshaan dulqaad dhimasho ah, iyadoo taargooyinka matalaya leh qiimo -24. 9391, taasoo muujinaysa in ay sii socoto xoogganinta ganaaxa. Raadka ganacsiga ugu muhiimsan waa 3, 080-3, 120. Waji Genral: Aan hubnaa siyaasadda canshuuraha Trump. Golaha Aqalka Maraykanka ayaa meel mariyay xeerka ka hortagga kordhinta Cashuurta Trump ee Kanada, taas oo rajaynaysa in ay gudubto Senate-ga, waa Calaamad wadani ah. Wasiirka Maaliyadda Maraykanka ayaa sheegay in kulammo dhawaan ka dhacay Beijing oo ay la yeesheen mas'uuliyiinta Shiinaha oo diyaarinaya wadahadallo heer sare ah, halka Wasaaradda Ganacsiga Shiinaha ay xaqiijisay in xiriirka dhaqaale iyo ganacsi uu socdo, taasoo sidoo kalena ah calaamad wanaagsan. Si kastaba ha ahaatee, saamiyada Maraykanka ayaa si weyn hoos ugu dhacay sababo la xiriira cabsi in AI ay saameyn ku yeelan karto faa'iidada shirkadaha mustaqbalka, taas oo ah culeys gaaban oo ku wajahan hantida halista ah. Aasaaska Dhaqaalaha: Marka laga hadlayo sahayda, mashaariicda aluminium ee gudaha iyo Indonesia ayaa si joogto ah u kordhiyay wax-soo saarkood, in kastoo wax-soo-saarkii Febraayo uu hoos u dhacay bil kasta oo hore, sababo la xiriira maalmaha dabiiciga ah ee yar. Iyada oo la dhow yahay Sannadka Cusub ee Shiinaha, baahida alaabada aadanaha ee ka ganacsata wax yar ayaa daciiftay; iyadoo qiimaha sare ee aluminium ay hoos u dhigeen baahida, danaha qeybta hoose ayaa jilicsanaa. Shirkadaha ayaa muujiyay rabitaanka inay sameeyaan ceeriin badan, taas oo hoos u dhigtay saamiga aluminium dareeraha ah ee Febraayo. In kasta oo ay korortay soo saarista aluminium ee injineeriyada sanadaha kalena, maalgashiga shuminada ayaa sii socday, sidoo kale kaydka bulshada ayaa sii kordhayay, iyadoo kaydka Khamiista uu kor u dhacay 35, 000 oo тонна laga bilaabo Isniinta, taas oo lagu qasbayo cadaadiska kaydka. Dambe s sannadka cusub ee Shiinaha, waxaa la filaayaa in kaydka bulshada uu gaaro heer saddex sano oo sare. Suuqa Aluminiumka Hore: Heshiiska SHFE aluminium 2602 ayaa markii hore si wanaagsan u ganacsaday, laakiin guud ahaan dareenka suuqa ayaa ahaa mid daciif ah sababo la xiriira fasaxa soo socdo, iyadoo heshiisyada waawayn ay ku jiraan qiimo celcelis ah oo kaliya RMB 10/tonne. Shalay, heerka dareenka rarida ee bari ee Shiinaha ayaa ahaa 2. 21 (hoos u dhac 0. 08 bil kasta), halka heerka iibka uu yahay 2. 33 (kor u kac 0. 04 bil kasta). SMM A00 aluminium ayaa xirnaa qiimo RMB 23, 350/tonne (+RMB 90), oo qiimihiisu yahay qiimo dhimis RMB 160/tonne marka la barbar dhigo heshiiska 2602 (kor u kac RMB 30) iyo RMB 220/tonne marka la barbar dhigo heshiiska 2603. Suuqyada dhexe ee Shiinaha ayaa arkay ganacsiaar liita. Marka la dhow yahay Sannadka Cusub ee Shiinaha, kaydinta ka hor fasaxa ayaa joojisay, beddelkeeda waxaa bilaabmay iibsashada waqtiga ku habboon oo yar. Bixiyeyaasha waaweyn ayaa bilaabay fasaxa, iyaga oo xaddidaya wareegga sahayda, si kastaba ha ahaatee, qaar ka mid ah ganacsatada ayaa iibsaday qiimo hoos ah, taas oo sicirkooda kor u qaaday. Qiimaha lagu heshiiyey ee dhabta ah ee Shiinaha dhexe ayaa ahaa RMB 20 ilaa 60 ka sarreeya qiimaha gobolka. Dareenka rarida ee gobolka waa 2. 43 (hoos u dhac 0. 14 bil kasta) iyo dareenka iibka 2. 09 (hoos u dhac 0. 05 bil kasta). SMM gobolka dhexe ee Shiinaha ayaa xirnaa RMB 23, 260/tonne (+RMB 100), iyagoo qiimahaan uu yahay qiimo dhimis RMB 250 iyo RMB 310 marka la barbar dhigo heshiisyada 2602 iyo 2603, siday u kala horreeyaan.

Faraqyada qiimaha ee Henan-Shanghai ayaa yaraa RMB 10 ilaa -RMB 90. Alaabada Cudurka Dabiiciga ah ee Labaad: Qiimaha aluminiumka tooska ah ayaa si xoogaa hoos u dhacay, iyadoo SMM A00 uu xirnaa RMB 23, 350/tonne; qiimaha qashinka guud ahaan ayaa deggan. Qiimaha aluminiumka jarjaraan leh ee UBC ayaa lagu sheegay RMB 16, 850-17, 300/tonne (aan canshuur ahayn); qashinka tensile ee qashinka ah ayaa ah RMB 19, 000-19, 700/tonne (aan canshuur ahayn). Faraqyada qiimaha ee u dhexeeya aluminiumka asalka ah iyo qashinka ayaa wali waaweyn, tusaale ahaan RMB 3, 543/tonne u dhexeeya A00 iyo qashinka isku-dhafka ah ee la shiiday. Qiimaha sare ee aluminiumka ayaa yareynaya baahida qeybta hoose, taas oo keenaysa in kaydinta ay ka yartahay sanado hore. Abaarta Sannadka Cusub ee Shiinaha ayaa ka dheerayd 2025. Warshadaha qashinka iyo shirkadaha adeegsanaya ayaa si tartiib ah u joojiyay howlaha iyo rarida. Qaarkood oo dib u dhacay ayaa la kaydiyey, laakiin ganacsiga suuqa ayaa ahaa mid gaabis ah. Qiimaha aluminiumka qashinka ah ayaa laga filayaa inay sii joogaan heer sare ah (qiyaastii RMB 19, 000-19, 800/tonne ee qashinka tensile ee shiiday). Sahayda ayaa wali adag sababtoo ah fasaxyada socda iyo xannibaadaha dib u warshadaynta qashinka, taas oo taageeraysa qiimaha qashinka. Si kastaba ha ahaatee, baahida qeybta hoose ayaa hoos u dhacday bil kasta laga bilaabo Januari, iyadoo macaamilka la filayo inay ku xadidan tahay dib u buuxinta waqtiga ku habboon. Joogitaanka shaashadda sahayda iyo baahida ayaa suurtagal ah inay sii jirto muddo-gaaban. Maskaxda waxaa laga rabaa inay diirada saarto heerka shaqada ee dib loo bilaabi doono kadib fasaxa, maadaama filashooyinka soo kabashada ay dhiirigelin karaan dareenka suuqa, laga yaabee inay kor u qaadaan qiimaha aluminium, iyadoo weli la ilaalinayo heerka dhaqdhaqaaqa suuqa qashinka oo gaabis ah. Qalabka Aluminiumka Labaad: Ereyga loogu ganacsada badan yahay ee aluminium 2604 oo mustaqbal ah ayaa furmay qiimo RMB 22, 195/tonne, hoos u dhacay ilaa 22, 085, kadib ayaa ku soo laabtay heer sare oo intradays ah 22, 295 ka hor intaanay isku dhacsan si kooban oo xirnaa heerka RMB 22, 260 (+0. 25%). Tirada heshiisyada ayaa ahayd 9, 009; daneyn furitaanka ayaa hoos u dhacday 1, 588 heshiis kuwaas oo ugu weyn sababtuna tahay xidhitaanka gaaban. Qiimaha tooska ah: aluminium A00 ayaa kor u kacay RMB 90 ilaa RMB 23, 350; ADC12 ee SMM ayaa dagan oo ah RMB 23, 650. Ganacsatada kore iyo kuwa hoose ayaa si tartiib ah ula baxay fasaxa Sannadka Cusub ee Shiinaha; dhismayaashii aluminiumka labaad ee yaryar ayaa damcay inay damiyaan foornada, shirkadaha waaweyn ayaa bilaabay fasaxa, taas oo joojisay rarka. Iyadoo ay si siman u qaboojiso sahayda iyo dalabka, qiimaha iyo ganacsigu si weyn ayaa u liitay, taa oo calaamad u ah nasashada ka hor fasaxa. Waxaa la filayaa in qiimayaashu ay isku sii haystaan xasillooni iyadoo aan lafilayn wax isbeddel weyn inta fasaxa socdo. Kooban Suuqa Aluminiumka: Diidmooyin Golaha Aqalka Maraykanka ku jeediyay cashuuraha Trump ee Kanada iyo wada hadallada ganacsi ee USA-Shiinaha oo sii socota ayaa yareeyay welwelka dagaalka ganacsiga, waxayna wanaajisay dareenka suuqa. Si kastaba ha ahaatee, qiimaha dahabka iyo lacagta ayaa hoos u dhacay, sidoo kale saamiyada USA ayaa si weyn hoos ugu dhacday sababta oo ah welwelka AI, taas oo saameyn ku yeelatay hantida khatarta ah, iyadoo qaar ka mid ah waxyaalaha kor u qaadaysa macro. Daciifinta aasaaska xilliga ayaa sii xumaatay: wax soo saarka aluminium gudaha iyo dibadda ayaa si joogto ah u kordhay, laakiin sida loo wajaho Sannadka Cusub ee Shiinaha, shirkadaha farsamada hoose ayaa hakiyay wax soo saarkood, qiimahayguna ayaa sare u kacaya waxaana yaraanaya dalabka. Rabooyinka shirkadaha inay ceeriin sameeyaan ayaa kor u kacaya, qeybta aluminium dareeraha ah ayaa hoos u dhacaysa, kaydina ayaa sii kacaysa bil kasta. Wada tashi ah in kaydka kadib fasaxa uu gaadhi doono heer saddex sano oo sare, iyo hoos u dhaca qiimaha aluminiumka ayaa sii wado in uu saameeyo suuqa. Dareenka wanaagsanaanta ee maaddooyinka aan birta ahayn ayaa qabowday iyadoo kaydka uu sareeyo. Inta lagu jiro fasaxa Sannadka Cusub ee Shiinaha, suuqa gudaha ayaa xirmaya halka suuqyada caalamiga ah ay sii shaqeeyaan; sidaas darteed, khataraha isbeddelka qiimaha aluminium-ka ayaa jiri doona sababtoo ah waxyaabaha macro iyo kuwa caalamiga ah ee keeni kara isbeddello kadib fasaxa.