In the spring, the US witnessed its first AI political candidate, VIC, a ChatGPT-based bot created by Victor Miller, who briefly campaigned for mayor of Wyoming, promising governance by AI. At the start of 2024, many anticipated AI's significant role in global elections, affecting more than 2 billion voters across 60 countries. However, experts now contend AI had little impact on these elections. While generative AI's potential to produce misleading deepfakes sparked concern, campaigns hesitated to use them due to technological complexity and legal constraints. Analysis revealed that many deepfakes were non-deceptive and primarily deepened partisan divisions without swaying opinions. Nevertheless, misleading deepfakes did circulate, such as those encouraging a boycott during Bangladesh's elections. Detecting AI-generated media remains challenging, with available tools lagging behind technological advancements, particularly outside the US and Western Europe.
Yet, AI played a quieter role, such as writing campaign materials and aiding strategy, with notable applications in Indonesia and India. These uses could democratize election processes by granting small campaigns unprecedented access to resources and helping local candidates engage voters. AI involvement in US campaigns this year included training from Microsoft and Google, but experts like Bruce Schneier believe the "AI election" era is just beginning. AI candidates can also protect individuals in repressive regions; Belarusian dissidents recently used an AI candidate as a protest against their authoritarian government. Although AI's influence in elections is emerging, its impacts suggest significant potential for future democratic processes.
AI's Emerging Role in Global Elections: Early Impacts and Future Potential
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