According to a new election model developed with artificial intelligence, the Republicans are poised to gain control of the Senate on November 5 by flipping seats in West Virginia and Montana. The study, conducted by British betting firm Bonus Code Bets using ChatGPT, an AI language model, analyzed all 50 states individually by examining publicly available polling data, historical elections, and demographic information. The findings suggest that the Republicans will secure 51 Senate seats, while the Democrats will hold 47, along with two independent senators, Bernie Sanders from Vermont and Angus King from Maine, who are affiliated with the Democrats. Currently, Democrats have a narrow Senate majority with 47 Senators along with four independents aligned to varying degrees, compared to 49 Republicans. The GOP aimed to take control of the Senate during the 2022 midterm elections, but the expected "red wave" fell short, resulting in them losing a Senate seat in Georgia, although they gained a majority in the House. The Bonus Code Bets model predicts that the Republicans will capture the Senate seat occupied by Joe Manchin, a Democratic-aligned independent not seeking re-election, with GOP candidate Jim Justice, the incumbent Republican governor of West Virginia, defeating Democrat Glenn Elliott. Additionally, the model forecasts that Democratic Senator Jon Tester of Montana, who has served since 2007, will lose his seat to Republican opponent Tim Sheehy, a former Navy SEAL. Newsweek reached out to both the Republican and Democratic parties for comments on Saturday outside of regular office hours via email and through their online inquiry forms. In the presidential race, a different model by Bonus Code Bets predicts that Democratic nominee Kamala Harris will narrowly win with 276 Electoral College votes compared to 262 for Republican contender Donald Trump. The analysis indicates that Harris is expected to win critical swing states including Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Nevada, while losing in North Carolina, Georgia, and Arizona. To gather its data, Bonus Code Bets instructed ChatGPT to "predict how each state will vote in the 2024 presidential election, utilizing all available data including polling information, demographics, and historical results along with relevant current campaign events. " A spokesperson for Bonus Code Bets told Newsweek, "For years, opinion polls have been markers for predicting election outcomes, but newer technologies provide innovative methods for forecasting results. The fact that such a powerful AI tool could assess the entire campaign and still foresee Kamala Harris winning by a single state underscores how close this election is likely to be. " If Bonus Code Bets' 14-vote Electoral College victory for Harris occurs on Tuesday, it would rank as the third-closest in U. S.

history, following Rutherford B. Hayes' one-vote win in 1876 and George W. Bush's five-vote victory over Al Gore in 2000.